Warning: include(/home/u542596555/domains/chinawatch.blog/public_html/vendor/composer/../../core/src/Core/Router.php): Failed to open stream: No such file or directory in /home/u542596555/domains/chinawatch.blog/public_html/vendor/composer/ClassLoader.php on line 571

Warning: include(): Failed opening '/home/u542596555/domains/chinawatch.blog/public_html/vendor/composer/../../core/src/Core/Router.php' for inclusion (include_path='.:/opt/alt/php82/usr/share/pear:/opt/alt/php82/usr/share/php:/usr/share/pear:/usr/share/php') in /home/u542596555/domains/chinawatch.blog/public_html/vendor/composer/ClassLoader.php on line 571

Warning: include(/home/u542596555/domains/chinawatch.blog/public_html/vendor/composer/../../core/src/Controllers/ReportController.php): Failed to open stream: No such file or directory in /home/u542596555/domains/chinawatch.blog/public_html/vendor/composer/ClassLoader.php on line 571

Warning: include(): Failed opening '/home/u542596555/domains/chinawatch.blog/public_html/vendor/composer/../../core/src/Controllers/ReportController.php' for inclusion (include_path='.:/opt/alt/php82/usr/share/pear:/opt/alt/php82/usr/share/php:/usr/share/pear:/usr/share/php') in /home/u542596555/domains/chinawatch.blog/public_html/vendor/composer/ClassLoader.php on line 571

Warning: include(/home/u542596555/domains/chinawatch.blog/public_html/vendor/composer/../../core/src/Core/DB.php): Failed to open stream: No such file or directory in /home/u542596555/domains/chinawatch.blog/public_html/vendor/composer/ClassLoader.php on line 571

Warning: include(): Failed opening '/home/u542596555/domains/chinawatch.blog/public_html/vendor/composer/../../core/src/Core/DB.php' for inclusion (include_path='.:/opt/alt/php82/usr/share/pear:/opt/alt/php82/usr/share/php:/usr/share/pear:/usr/share/php') in /home/u542596555/domains/chinawatch.blog/public_html/vendor/composer/ClassLoader.php on line 571

Warning: include(/home/u542596555/domains/chinawatch.blog/public_html/vendor/composer/../../core/src/Core/View.php): Failed to open stream: No such file or directory in /home/u542596555/domains/chinawatch.blog/public_html/vendor/composer/ClassLoader.php on line 571

Warning: include(): Failed opening '/home/u542596555/domains/chinawatch.blog/public_html/vendor/composer/../../core/src/Core/View.php' for inclusion (include_path='.:/opt/alt/php82/usr/share/pear:/opt/alt/php82/usr/share/php:/usr/share/pear:/usr/share/php') in /home/u542596555/domains/chinawatch.blog/public_html/vendor/composer/ClassLoader.php on line 571
Intelligence Archive // China Watch

Warning: include(/home/u542596555/domains/chinawatch.blog/public_html/vendor/composer/../../core/src/Services/AuthService.php): Failed to open stream: No such file or directory in /home/u542596555/domains/chinawatch.blog/public_html/vendor/composer/ClassLoader.php on line 571

Warning: include(): Failed opening '/home/u542596555/domains/chinawatch.blog/public_html/vendor/composer/../../core/src/Services/AuthService.php' for inclusion (include_path='.:/opt/alt/php82/usr/share/pear:/opt/alt/php82/usr/share/php:/usr/share/pear:/usr/share/php') in /home/u542596555/domains/chinawatch.blog/public_html/vendor/composer/ClassLoader.php on line 571
Login

Research Library

// Global Analysis Archive

DISPLAYING 1-7 OF 7 RECORDS — TAGGED "Global Trade"
PAGE 1 / 1
China Apr 28, 2026

Hormuz Lessons, Taiwan Implications: Beijing Studies Chokepoint Coercion

The source argues China is closely observing U.S. and allied operations in the Strait of Hormuz and Iran’s disruption tactics as a practical template for Taiwan Strait contingencies. It suggests Beijing may favor blockade and anti-access strategies—using missiles, drones, and mines—to deter intervention and impose economic pressure even if an outright invasion remains challenging.

ASEAN Apr 23, 2026

ASEAN Consensus Tested as Malacca Strait Levy Idea Meets Regional Pushback

Malaysia and Singapore are reinforcing consensus-based governance and open transit principles in response to Indonesia’s floated idea of a Malacca Strait shipping levy. With global chokepoint risks elevated by Middle East tensions, even exploratory toll proposals could increase market uncertainty and regional diplomatic friction.

US-China Relations Mar 30, 2026

Beyond Trade: Taiwan and Summit Diplomacy Set the Terms for a 2026 Trump–Xi Reset

A Brookings commentary argues that a May 2026 Trump visit to China should be evaluated primarily as a strategic and security test, not a trade negotiation. The source indicates Beijing will judge success by U.S. signaling on relationship framing and, above all, by how Taiwan-related tensions—heightened by a December 2025 arms package—are managed.

China Mar 22, 2026

Li Qiang Pledges Wider Opening as China Seeks to Defuse Surplus Scrutiny and Trade Frictions

At the China Development Forum on 22 Mar 2026, Premier Li Qiang said China would expand the global 'trade pie' through higher-level opening up and increased imports, while criticizing unilateralism and protectionism. The message comes as China’s early-year trade growth outpaces forecasts amid weak domestic consumption, renewed tariff pressures, and rising energy-security risks tied to Middle East conflict.

China Feb 01, 2026

Waning US Leverage and China’s Surplus: Rising Pressure on Global Manufacturing

A Guardian analysis argues that declining US influence is coinciding with an expanding Chinese trade surplus, intensifying competitive pressure on manufacturing worldwide. The framing suggests Beijing has an opportunity to shape outcomes if it moderates policies that fuel backlash, otherwise fragmentation and trade defenses are likely to grow.

China Jan 23, 2026

Beijing’s Davos Play: Casting China as ‘Stability’ as Trump-Era Volatility Returns

China is leveraging Davos to contrast US political division with a narrative of Chinese steadiness, aiming to reassure global business and weaken alignment behind US-led constraints. The strategy may gain traction amid policy uncertainty, but credibility hinges on tangible predictability for investors and partners.

EU-India FTA Jul 17, 2025

India–EU FTA Emerges as a Strategic Hedge in a Volatile Trade Order

The source portrays the India–EU Free Trade Agreement as a major strategic diversification move, shaped by tariff uncertainty and shifting global trade alignments. Beyond tariffs, its focus on services, digital trade, and regulatory cooperation could influence future templates for large-scale trade deals.

China

Hormuz Lessons, Taiwan Implications: Beijing Studies Chokepoint Coercion

The source argues China is closely observing U.S. and allied operations in the Strait of Hormuz and Iran’s disruption tactics as a practical template for Taiwan Strait contingencies. It suggests Beijing may favor blockade and anti-access strategies—using missiles, drones, and mines—to deter intervention and impose economic pressure even if an outright invasion remains challenging.

Apr 28, 2026 0 views
ACCESS »
ASEAN

ASEAN Consensus Tested as Malacca Strait Levy Idea Meets Regional Pushback

Malaysia and Singapore are reinforcing consensus-based governance and open transit principles in response to Indonesia’s floated idea of a Malacca Strait shipping levy. With global chokepoint risks elevated by Middle East tensions, even exploratory toll proposals could increase market uncertainty and regional diplomatic friction.

Apr 23, 2026 0 views
ACCESS »
US-China Relations

Beyond Trade: Taiwan and Summit Diplomacy Set the Terms for a 2026 Trump–Xi Reset

A Brookings commentary argues that a May 2026 Trump visit to China should be evaluated primarily as a strategic and security test, not a trade negotiation. The source indicates Beijing will judge success by U.S. signaling on relationship framing and, above all, by how Taiwan-related tensions—heightened by a December 2025 arms package—are managed.

Mar 30, 2026 0 views
ACCESS »
China

Li Qiang Pledges Wider Opening as China Seeks to Defuse Surplus Scrutiny and Trade Frictions

At the China Development Forum on 22 Mar 2026, Premier Li Qiang said China would expand the global 'trade pie' through higher-level opening up and increased imports, while criticizing unilateralism and protectionism. The message comes as China’s early-year trade growth outpaces forecasts amid weak domestic consumption, renewed tariff pressures, and rising energy-security risks tied to Middle East conflict.

Mar 22, 2026 0 views
ACCESS »
China

Waning US Leverage and China’s Surplus: Rising Pressure on Global Manufacturing

A Guardian analysis argues that declining US influence is coinciding with an expanding Chinese trade surplus, intensifying competitive pressure on manufacturing worldwide. The framing suggests Beijing has an opportunity to shape outcomes if it moderates policies that fuel backlash, otherwise fragmentation and trade defenses are likely to grow.

Feb 01, 2026 0 views
ACCESS »
China

Beijing’s Davos Play: Casting China as ‘Stability’ as Trump-Era Volatility Returns

China is leveraging Davos to contrast US political division with a narrative of Chinese steadiness, aiming to reassure global business and weaken alignment behind US-led constraints. The strategy may gain traction amid policy uncertainty, but credibility hinges on tangible predictability for investors and partners.

Jan 23, 2026 0 views
ACCESS »
EU-India FTA

India–EU FTA Emerges as a Strategic Hedge in a Volatile Trade Order

The source portrays the India–EU Free Trade Agreement as a major strategic diversification move, shaped by tariff uncertainty and shifting global trade alignments. Beyond tariffs, its focus on services, digital trade, and regulatory cooperation could influence future templates for large-scale trade deals.

Jul 17, 2025 1 views
ACCESS »
ID Title Category Date Views
RPT-4331 Hormuz Lessons, Taiwan Implications: Beijing Studies Chokepoint Coercion China 2026-04-28 0 ACCESS »
RPT-4134 ASEAN Consensus Tested as Malacca Strait Levy Idea Meets Regional Pushback ASEAN 2026-04-23 0 ACCESS »
RPT-3290 Beyond Trade: Taiwan and Summit Diplomacy Set the Terms for a 2026 Trump–Xi Reset US-China Relations 2026-03-30 0 ACCESS »
RPT-2981 Li Qiang Pledges Wider Opening as China Seeks to Defuse Surplus Scrutiny and Trade Frictions China 2026-03-22 0 ACCESS »
RPT-464 Waning US Leverage and China’s Surplus: Rising Pressure on Global Manufacturing China 2026-02-01 0 ACCESS »
RPT-72 Beijing’s Davos Play: Casting China as ‘Stability’ as Trump-Era Volatility Returns China 2026-01-23 0 ACCESS »
RPT-180 India–EU FTA Emerges as a Strategic Hedge in a Volatile Trade Order EU-India FTA 2025-07-17 1 ACCESS »
Page 1 of 1 • 7 total reports