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Intelligence Archive // China Watch

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Research Library

// Global Analysis Archive

DISPLAYING 1-7 OF 7 RECORDS — TAGGED "Geopolitical Risk"
PAGE 1 / 1
US-China Relations Jan 31, 2026

Velvet Glove, Iron Fist: Managing Miscalculation in Trump’s 2026 China Posture

CGTN frames a prospective Trump-era China approach as a dual-track mix of engagement and pressure. The source emphasizes that the primary danger is misjudging core interests and misreading defensive signals, which could accelerate escalation in contested arenas.

China-UK Relations Jan 30, 2026

Starmer in Beijing Signals Western ‘Managed Re-Engagement’ as US Policy Volatility Grows

According to the source, Keir Starmer’s January 2026 visit to China reflects a wider surge in Western leader-level diplomacy aimed at hedging against US unpredictability and stabilising ties with Beijing. Analysts assess that cooperation will remain limited to low-friction deliverables as structural disputes over trade, technology and geopolitics continue to cap any deeper reset.

ASEAN Jan 28, 2026

Southeast Asia’s 2026 FDI Outlook: Maritime ASEAN Leads as Mainland Risks Persist

The Diplomat’s January 2026 outlook suggests Southeast Asia will remain the top global destination for FDI in 2026, led by Vietnam, Malaysia, and Indonesia. Mainland Southeast Asia is expected to lag due to border tensions, political uncertainty in Myanmar, and Laos’ debt constraints, while China remains the dominant investment influence alongside Western and intra-ASEAN capital.

China Foreign Policy Jan 27, 2026

Beijing Signals Pushback on U.S. Trade Linkage Pressure and Expands Western Hemisphere Messaging

A January 26, 2026 press conference transcript shows China rejecting U.S.-linked pressure on third-country China ties while emphasizing win-win cooperation with partners including Canada, Uruguay, and Central American states. The spokesperson also defends China’s COVID-19 record and underscores support for WHO and multilateralism amid the U.S. withdrawal announcement.

China Jan 23, 2026

Xi’s New Year Address Signals Elevated Taiwan Priority Amid a Perceived 2026 Window

A Modern Diplomacy analysis argues that Xi Jinping’s New Year 2026 address and associated messaging elevate Taiwan’s strategic salience through narrative institutionalization and intensified military signaling. The source assesses U.S. midterm politics and global conflict distraction as potential factors Beijing could view as creating a favorable operational window in 2026.

Hong Kong Jan 20, 2026

Amnesty Research Flags Alleged Overreach in Hong Kong NSL Prosecutions

Amnesty International UK highlights research claiming that around 80% of people convicted under Hong Kong’s National Security Law should not have been charged. The allegation reinforces concerns about legal overbreadth, chilling effects on civic space, and rising geopolitical and compliance risk for Hong Kong-linked actors.

Canada-China Relations Nov 18, 2025

Canada’s China Pivot: Canola Relief, EV Access, and a High-Stakes Trade-Off

According to the source, Prime Minister Mark Carney’s Beijing visit produced a new Canada–China “strategic partnership” pairing expanded Chinese EV access and prospective joint-venture investment with a potential reduction in China’s canola-seed tariffs. The deal may deliver near-term agricultural gains but introduces longer-term industrial, political, and geopolitical risks amid continued U.S. tariff volatility.

US-China Relations

Velvet Glove, Iron Fist: Managing Miscalculation in Trump’s 2026 China Posture

CGTN frames a prospective Trump-era China approach as a dual-track mix of engagement and pressure. The source emphasizes that the primary danger is misjudging core interests and misreading defensive signals, which could accelerate escalation in contested arenas.

Jan 31, 2026 0 views
ACCESS »
China-UK Relations

Starmer in Beijing Signals Western ‘Managed Re-Engagement’ as US Policy Volatility Grows

According to the source, Keir Starmer’s January 2026 visit to China reflects a wider surge in Western leader-level diplomacy aimed at hedging against US unpredictability and stabilising ties with Beijing. Analysts assess that cooperation will remain limited to low-friction deliverables as structural disputes over trade, technology and geopolitics continue to cap any deeper reset.

Jan 30, 2026 0 views
ACCESS »
ASEAN

Southeast Asia’s 2026 FDI Outlook: Maritime ASEAN Leads as Mainland Risks Persist

The Diplomat’s January 2026 outlook suggests Southeast Asia will remain the top global destination for FDI in 2026, led by Vietnam, Malaysia, and Indonesia. Mainland Southeast Asia is expected to lag due to border tensions, political uncertainty in Myanmar, and Laos’ debt constraints, while China remains the dominant investment influence alongside Western and intra-ASEAN capital.

Jan 28, 2026 1 views
ACCESS »
China Foreign Policy

Beijing Signals Pushback on U.S. Trade Linkage Pressure and Expands Western Hemisphere Messaging

A January 26, 2026 press conference transcript shows China rejecting U.S.-linked pressure on third-country China ties while emphasizing win-win cooperation with partners including Canada, Uruguay, and Central American states. The spokesperson also defends China’s COVID-19 record and underscores support for WHO and multilateralism amid the U.S. withdrawal announcement.

Jan 27, 2026 0 views
ACCESS »
China

Xi’s New Year Address Signals Elevated Taiwan Priority Amid a Perceived 2026 Window

A Modern Diplomacy analysis argues that Xi Jinping’s New Year 2026 address and associated messaging elevate Taiwan’s strategic salience through narrative institutionalization and intensified military signaling. The source assesses U.S. midterm politics and global conflict distraction as potential factors Beijing could view as creating a favorable operational window in 2026.

Jan 23, 2026 0 views
ACCESS »
Hong Kong

Amnesty Research Flags Alleged Overreach in Hong Kong NSL Prosecutions

Amnesty International UK highlights research claiming that around 80% of people convicted under Hong Kong’s National Security Law should not have been charged. The allegation reinforces concerns about legal overbreadth, chilling effects on civic space, and rising geopolitical and compliance risk for Hong Kong-linked actors.

Jan 20, 2026 0 views
ACCESS »
Canada-China Relations

Canada’s China Pivot: Canola Relief, EV Access, and a High-Stakes Trade-Off

According to the source, Prime Minister Mark Carney’s Beijing visit produced a new Canada–China “strategic partnership” pairing expanded Chinese EV access and prospective joint-venture investment with a potential reduction in China’s canola-seed tariffs. The deal may deliver near-term agricultural gains but introduces longer-term industrial, political, and geopolitical risks amid continued U.S. tariff volatility.

Nov 18, 2025 0 views
ACCESS »
ID Title Category Date Views
RPT-460 Velvet Glove, Iron Fist: Managing Miscalculation in Trump’s 2026 China Posture US-China Relations 2026-01-31 0 ACCESS »
RPT-364 Starmer in Beijing Signals Western ‘Managed Re-Engagement’ as US Policy Volatility Grows China-UK Relations 2026-01-30 0 ACCESS »
RPT-288 Southeast Asia’s 2026 FDI Outlook: Maritime ASEAN Leads as Mainland Risks Persist ASEAN 2026-01-28 1 ACCESS »
RPT-225 Beijing Signals Pushback on U.S. Trade Linkage Pressure and Expands Western Hemisphere Messaging China Foreign Policy 2026-01-27 0 ACCESS »
RPT-121 Xi’s New Year Address Signals Elevated Taiwan Priority Amid a Perceived 2026 Window China 2026-01-23 0 ACCESS »
RPT-43 Amnesty Research Flags Alleged Overreach in Hong Kong NSL Prosecutions Hong Kong 2026-01-20 0 ACCESS »
RPT-523 Canada’s China Pivot: Canola Relief, EV Access, and a High-Stakes Trade-Off Canada-China Relations 2025-11-18 0 ACCESS »
Page 1 of 1 • 7 total reports