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Intelligence Archive // China Watch

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Research Library

// Global Analysis Archive

DISPLAYING 1-8 OF 8 RECORDS — TAGGED "Civil-Military Relations"
PAGE 1 / 1
China Feb 20, 2026

PLA Leadership Investigations: Limited Direct Impact on Beijing’s Taiwan Decision Calculus

The source argues that recent senior PLA disciplinary investigations are primarily about domestic political control and regime security, not a near-term shift in Taiwan operational intent. It assesses that Beijing’s Taiwan use-of-force decisions are more likely to be driven by perceived political necessity and legitimacy considerations than by PLA readiness levels.

Thailand Feb 09, 2026

Thailand’s 2026 Snap Election: Reform Momentum Meets Security Nationalism and Coalition Constraints

Thailand’s February 2026 snap election is set to be dominated by the People’s Party, Pheu Thai, and Prime Minister Anutin’s Bhumjaithai amid economic strain and heightened border tensions with Cambodia. Polling favors the People’s Party, but coalition bargaining and the continued influence of non-electoral power centers are likely to shape government formation and limit near-term stability.

China Feb 02, 2026

Beijing Frames Senior PLA Probe as Readiness Drive and Command-Unity Signal

State media portrayed the investigation into senior PLA leaders Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli as a measure to remove internal obstacles and strengthen combat effectiveness. The messaging also emphasised alignment with CMC decisions and Xi Jinping’s directives, indicating a focus on command cohesion alongside organisational discipline.

China Jan 26, 2026

Report: Investigation of CMC Vice-Chair Zhang Youxia Signals Heightened PLA Discipline at the Top

The Guardian reports that China’s senior general Zhang Youxia is under investigation for alleged violations, framed within a broader PLA discipline campaign. If accurate, the case could affect elite military alignments, counterintelligence posture, and near-term command dynamics.

PLA Jan 26, 2026

PLA Leadership Shock: Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli Removed, CMC Authority Narrows

The source reports the January 24, 2026 investigation and removal of senior PLA leaders Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli, arguing it has sharply destabilized top-level command cohesion. It assesses reduced near-term capacity for major operations, while warning that limited actions could still be used for deterrence and internal consolidation.

South Africa Jan 23, 2026

South Africa’s BRICS Naval Drills Trigger US Backlash and a Civil-Military Test Over Iran

South Africa has opened an inquiry into claims that its military allowed Iran to join BRICS naval drills despite President Ramaphosa’s reported instruction to exclude Tehran. The episode sharpens US-South Africa tensions, exposes potential civilian oversight weaknesses, and highlights growing divisions within BRICS over security cooperation.

China Dec 07, 2025

Zhang Youxia’s Reported Removal Signals Continued Tightening of PLA Political Control

An extracted Diplomat podcast description discusses the reported downfall of General Zhang Youxia and frames it within broader patterns of senior PLA turnover under Xi Jinping. The limited, promo-heavy extract suggests heightened emphasis on discipline and counterintelligence narratives, with potential short-term impacts on cohesion and decision-making.

Pakistan Nov 19, 2025

Pakistan Weighs Blasphemy-Law Safeguards Amid Rising Cases and Foreign-Policy Pressures

The source describes a sharp rise in blasphemy prosecutions—amplified by “digital blasphemy” enforcement—alongside continued societal violence and allegations of systematic misuse. It also reports early reform signals focused on procedural safeguards, with any deeper changes likely conditioned by civil-military alignment and Pakistan’s sensitive external commitments.

China

PLA Leadership Investigations: Limited Direct Impact on Beijing’s Taiwan Decision Calculus

The source argues that recent senior PLA disciplinary investigations are primarily about domestic political control and regime security, not a near-term shift in Taiwan operational intent. It assesses that Beijing’s Taiwan use-of-force decisions are more likely to be driven by perceived political necessity and legitimacy considerations than by PLA readiness levels.

Feb 20, 2026 0 views
ACCESS »
Thailand

Thailand’s 2026 Snap Election: Reform Momentum Meets Security Nationalism and Coalition Constraints

Thailand’s February 2026 snap election is set to be dominated by the People’s Party, Pheu Thai, and Prime Minister Anutin’s Bhumjaithai amid economic strain and heightened border tensions with Cambodia. Polling favors the People’s Party, but coalition bargaining and the continued influence of non-electoral power centers are likely to shape government formation and limit near-term stability.

Feb 09, 2026 0 views
ACCESS »
China

Beijing Frames Senior PLA Probe as Readiness Drive and Command-Unity Signal

State media portrayed the investigation into senior PLA leaders Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli as a measure to remove internal obstacles and strengthen combat effectiveness. The messaging also emphasised alignment with CMC decisions and Xi Jinping’s directives, indicating a focus on command cohesion alongside organisational discipline.

Feb 02, 2026 0 views
ACCESS »
China

Report: Investigation of CMC Vice-Chair Zhang Youxia Signals Heightened PLA Discipline at the Top

The Guardian reports that China’s senior general Zhang Youxia is under investigation for alleged violations, framed within a broader PLA discipline campaign. If accurate, the case could affect elite military alignments, counterintelligence posture, and near-term command dynamics.

Jan 26, 2026 1 views
ACCESS »
PLA

PLA Leadership Shock: Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli Removed, CMC Authority Narrows

The source reports the January 24, 2026 investigation and removal of senior PLA leaders Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli, arguing it has sharply destabilized top-level command cohesion. It assesses reduced near-term capacity for major operations, while warning that limited actions could still be used for deterrence and internal consolidation.

Jan 26, 2026 0 views
ACCESS »
South Africa

South Africa’s BRICS Naval Drills Trigger US Backlash and a Civil-Military Test Over Iran

South Africa has opened an inquiry into claims that its military allowed Iran to join BRICS naval drills despite President Ramaphosa’s reported instruction to exclude Tehran. The episode sharpens US-South Africa tensions, exposes potential civilian oversight weaknesses, and highlights growing divisions within BRICS over security cooperation.

Jan 23, 2026 3 views
ACCESS »
China

Zhang Youxia’s Reported Removal Signals Continued Tightening of PLA Political Control

An extracted Diplomat podcast description discusses the reported downfall of General Zhang Youxia and frames it within broader patterns of senior PLA turnover under Xi Jinping. The limited, promo-heavy extract suggests heightened emphasis on discipline and counterintelligence narratives, with potential short-term impacts on cohesion and decision-making.

Dec 07, 2025 0 views
ACCESS »
Pakistan

Pakistan Weighs Blasphemy-Law Safeguards Amid Rising Cases and Foreign-Policy Pressures

The source describes a sharp rise in blasphemy prosecutions—amplified by “digital blasphemy” enforcement—alongside continued societal violence and allegations of systematic misuse. It also reports early reform signals focused on procedural safeguards, with any deeper changes likely conditioned by civil-military alignment and Pakistan’s sensitive external commitments.

Nov 19, 2025 0 views
ACCESS »
ID Title Category Date Views
RPT-1407 PLA Leadership Investigations: Limited Direct Impact on Beijing’s Taiwan Decision Calculus China 2026-02-20 0 ACCESS »
RPT-873 Thailand’s 2026 Snap Election: Reform Momentum Meets Security Nationalism and Coalition Constraints Thailand 2026-02-09 0 ACCESS »
RPT-560 Beijing Frames Senior PLA Probe as Readiness Drive and Command-Unity Signal China 2026-02-02 0 ACCESS »
RPT-221 Report: Investigation of CMC Vice-Chair Zhang Youxia Signals Heightened PLA Discipline at the Top China 2026-01-26 1 ACCESS »
RPT-208 PLA Leadership Shock: Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli Removed, CMC Authority Narrows PLA 2026-01-26 0 ACCESS »
RPT-86 South Africa’s BRICS Naval Drills Trigger US Backlash and a Civil-Military Test Over Iran South Africa 2026-01-23 3 ACCESS »
RPT-446 Zhang Youxia’s Reported Removal Signals Continued Tightening of PLA Political Control China 2025-12-07 0 ACCESS »
RPT-125 Pakistan Weighs Blasphemy-Law Safeguards Amid Rising Cases and Foreign-Policy Pressures Pakistan 2025-11-19 0 ACCESS »
Page 1 of 1 • 8 total reports