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Intelligence Archive // China Watch

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Research Library

// Global Analysis Archive

DISPLAYING 1-24 OF 24 RECORDS — TAGGED "China Tech"
PAGE 1 / 1
Export Controls Feb 20, 2026

U.S. Reopens AI Chip Exports to China: Conditional Permissions, High Volumes, Limited Enforceability

A January 2026 U.S. Commerce regulation creates a pathway for exporting advanced AI chips to China under revised performance thresholds, volume caps, and certification requirements. The source argues the framework is strategically inconsistent and difficult to enforce, potentially enabling substantial growth in China’s AI compute capacity while offering limited assurance against sensitive end uses.

Export Controls Feb 20, 2026

U.S. AI Chip Export Rule to China: Permissive Pathways, Weak Guardrails

A January 2026 Commerce regulation reopens conditional exports of advanced AI chips to China while acknowledging national security risks. The source argues the rule’s ratio-based caps and certification-heavy enforcement could enable strategic-scale compute transfers without reliably preventing sensitive end-uses.

Export Controls Feb 18, 2026

U.S. AI Chip Export Rule to China: Permissive Pathway, Weak Guardrails, High Strategic Exposure

A January 2026 CFR analysis assesses the new U.S. Commerce regulation allowing limited sales of advanced AI chips to China as strategically incoherent, with outcomes hinging on enforcement strictness. The document argues volume caps and certification-based safeguards may still permit large-scale compute transfers while remaining difficult to verify, potentially accelerating China’s AI and dual-use capabilities.

Humanoid Robotics Feb 17, 2026

Humanoid Robots Headline China’s 2026 Spring Festival Gala, Signaling Rapid Gains in Mobility and Coordination

At the 2026 CCTV Spring Festival Gala, multiple Chinese robotics firms showcased humanoids performing high-dynamic movements, coordinated routines, and interactive service-like tasks. The demonstrations highlight progress in motion control and human-robot interaction, while underscoring that large-scale deployment will depend on cost, reliability, and long-term operational stability.

Semiconductors Feb 16, 2026

U.S. Creates a Gated Export Corridor for AI Chips to China as Section 232 Tariffs Reshape Semiconductor Supply Chains

A January 2026 U.S. policy package pairs case-by-case export licensing for a defined tier of advanced AI chips to China/Macau with a 25% Section 232 tariff regime that often requires routing chips through the United States. The combined design supports U.S. onshoring and end-use oversight but raises costs and compliance burdens for reexport-oriented electronics manufacturing.

Semiconductors Feb 15, 2026

U.S. Rewires AI Chip Flows: Case-by-Case China Exports Paired With 25% Section 232 Tariff Gate

A January 2026 U.S. policy package relaxes export licensing review for certain mature advanced AI chips to China/Macau, but ties practical access to U.S.-departure shipments with extensive certifications and U.S.-based testing. A simultaneous 25% Section 232 tariff with no duty drawback for reexports raises costs and reshapes incentives toward U.S. semiconductor production while potentially discouraging export-oriented electronics assembly.

Semiconductors Feb 06, 2026

PC Giants Weigh China DRAM Sourcing as AI Demand Tightens Global Memory Supply

Major PC makers including HP and Dell are reportedly certifying Chinese DRAM suppliers as global memory capacity is increasingly prioritized for AI customers. The shift may initially target non-US markets if shortages and elevated prices persist through mid-year.

Export Controls Feb 05, 2026

U.S. AI Chip Export Rule to China: Permissive Thresholds, Weak Guardrails, and High Strategic Exposure

A January 2026 Commerce regulation permits limited exports of advanced AI chips to China while acknowledging significant national security risks, creating a framework the source characterizes as strategically inconsistent. Certification-based safeguards and volume caps may be difficult to enforce and could still enable major compute expansion in China, setting a precedent for future chip generations.

Export Controls Feb 02, 2026

U.S. AI Chip Export Rule to China: High-Volume Permissions, Low-Enforceability Guardrails

A January 2026 Commerce Department regulation creates a conditional pathway for exporting advanced AI chips to China while acknowledging significant national security risks. The source argues the framework is difficult to enforce and could still enable large-scale compute expansion in China, while setting a precedent that may be extended to more advanced chip generations.

Export Controls Feb 02, 2026

US Codifies Conditional AI Chip Exports to China While Imposing Tariff Guardrails

A January 2026 BIS final rule shifts certain advanced AI chip exports to China from presumptive denial to case-by-case review, paired with expanded technical disclosures, third-party testing, and intensified end-user diligence. A parallel presidential proclamation imposes a 25% tariff on covered advanced chip imports intended for non-US customers, while Congress signals potential legislative tightening and China’s near-term import appetite remains uncertain.

Xpeng Feb 02, 2026

Xpeng’s IRON Stumble Highlights the Perception and Safety Stakes of Public Humanoid Demos

Xpeng’s humanoid robot IRON fell during its first public appearance in Shenzhen, with CEO He Xiaopeng describing it as a normal part of technological iteration. The incident also intersected with online skepticism about the robot’s gait authenticity, underscoring the importance of trust and safety in public demonstrations.

Export Controls Jan 31, 2026

U.S. AI Chip Export Rule to China: Permissive Caps, Heavy Certifications, and High Enforceability Risk

A January 2026 Commerce Department regulation partially relaxes AI chip export limits to China while relying on volume caps and extensive certifications. The source argues the framework may be difficult to enforce and could still enable large-scale compute gains in China, creating strategic and precedent-setting risks.

Export Controls Jan 30, 2026

U.S. AI Chip Export Rule to China: Permissive Pathway, Weak Enforceability

A January 2026 Commerce Department regulation loosens AI chip export restrictions to China while acknowledging significant national security risks, creating a framework whose effectiveness depends heavily on enforcement rigor. The source argues volume caps and certification-based controls may still enable large-scale compute expansion in China with limited verifiable guardrails.

Export Controls Jan 30, 2026

U.S. AI Chip Export Rule to China: High Volume Pathway, Low Enforceability

A January 2026 U.S. regulation permits limited exports of advanced AI chips to China while acknowledging significant national security risks, relying heavily on volume caps and exporter/end-user certifications. The source argues the framework may be difficult to enforce and could still enable a major expansion of China’s AI compute capacity, setting a precedent for future frontier-chip exports.

Hong Kong IPO Jan 30, 2026

Montage Technology Targets Up to $902M in Hong Kong Listing, Testing Tech IPO Appetite

A TradingView/Reuters headline reports that China’s Montage Technology is seeking up to about $902 million in a Hong Kong listing. The crawled document contains extraction errors, limiting visibility into deal structure, timing, and use-of-proceeds details.

Consumer AI Jan 29, 2026

AiSpea’s All-Things Party: A Platform Play to Turn Everyday Objects into AI Companions

AiSpea’s All-Things Party aims to attach customizable AI personalities to ordinary objects via an AI base and mobile app, enabling both user dialogue and multi-character interactions. Powered by Alibaba Cloud’s Qwen model and supported by entertainment IP partnerships, the platform signals expansion from toys into smart home and education use cases.

Export Controls Jan 29, 2026

U.S. AI Chip Export Rule to China: Permissive Pathway, Limited Enforceability

A January 2026 Commerce regulation creates a pathway for exporting advanced AI chips to China while acknowledging significant national security risks. The source argues the framework is difficult to enforce, could enable large compute transfers, and may set a precedent for broader future relaxations.

Semiconductors Jan 25, 2026

U.S. Semiconductor Controls on China Shift Toward Conditional Licensing and Tariff-Linked Enforcement

The source describes an export-control regime that expands restrictions on advanced chips, SME, and supercomputing end-uses while introducing case-by-case licensing pathways for select high-performance AI chips. It also reports a January 2026 tariff mechanism designed to shape reexport routing and strengthen compliance oversight.

Robotics Jan 23, 2026

Linkerbot’s High-Dexterity Hands: China’s Bid to Industrialize the ‘Body’ of Physical AI

Linkerbot is building high-DOF robotic hands and a supporting software/data stack to address the key bottleneck in embodied intelligence: reliable real-world manipulation. With new Series A++ funding and plans to scale production to 50,000–100,000 units annually by 2026, execution on reliability, cost, and manufacturing scale will determine whether it becomes foundational infrastructure for physical AI.

Vivo Jan 23, 2026

Vivo Shelves AI Glasses Push as Smart Eyewear Race Crowds Out Differentiation

Vivo has reportedly halted an AI glasses project after concluding it would be difficult to differentiate in a fast-evolving, crowded market. The decision underscores rising commoditization risks in smart eyewear and suggests Vivo may prioritize defensible AI and ecosystem investments over near-term hardware bets.

Honor Jan 20, 2026

Honor Bets on On-Device AI to Escape China’s Smartphone Red Ocean

Honor is repositioning smartphone competition away from mature hardware features toward an integrated AI stack spanning dedicated chips, OS optimization, and cloud services. With domestic shipments declining and designs converging, the V10’s on-device AI strategy aims to create compounding differentiation through personalization and improved user experience.

Open Source Jan 19, 2026

Permissive Licensing, Strategic Dependence: What Google’s Angular Terms Signal for China’s Tech Stack

The crawled text is an MIT-style permissive license for Google’s Angular, enabling broad commercial use while disclaiming warranties and liability. Strategically, it accelerates adoption but shifts security/compliance burdens to users and can deepen dependency on U.S.-led software ecosystems.

Export Controls Aug 21, 2025

Revenue-for-Access AI Chip Licensing: Legal and Market Fault Lines in U.S. Controls on China-Bound GPUs

The source describes a 2025–2026 U.S. policy that conditions export licenses for advanced AI chips to China on revenue-sharing payments to the U.S. government. It argues the approach creates significant litigation exposure and could reshape supply allocation, pricing, and competitive dynamics across chips, cloud services, and AI model development.

Export Controls Jul 14, 2025

Revenue-for-Access AI Chip Licensing: Legal Exposure and Supply-Chain Implications for China-Bound Exports

The source describes a proposed U.S. approach conditioning AI chip export licenses to China on revenue-sharing payments, effectively monetizing market access. It argues the framework faces significant statutory and constitutional challenges and could be contested by a wide range of actors across the AI supply chain.

Export Controls

U.S. Reopens AI Chip Exports to China: Conditional Permissions, High Volumes, Limited Enforceability

A January 2026 U.S. Commerce regulation creates a pathway for exporting advanced AI chips to China under revised performance thresholds, volume caps, and certification requirements. The source argues the framework is strategically inconsistent and difficult to enforce, potentially enabling substantial growth in China’s AI compute capacity while offering limited assurance against sensitive end uses.

Feb 20, 2026 0 views
ACCESS »
Export Controls

U.S. AI Chip Export Rule to China: Permissive Pathways, Weak Guardrails

A January 2026 Commerce regulation reopens conditional exports of advanced AI chips to China while acknowledging national security risks. The source argues the rule’s ratio-based caps and certification-heavy enforcement could enable strategic-scale compute transfers without reliably preventing sensitive end-uses.

Feb 20, 2026 0 views
ACCESS »
Export Controls

U.S. AI Chip Export Rule to China: Permissive Pathway, Weak Guardrails, High Strategic Exposure

A January 2026 CFR analysis assesses the new U.S. Commerce regulation allowing limited sales of advanced AI chips to China as strategically incoherent, with outcomes hinging on enforcement strictness. The document argues volume caps and certification-based safeguards may still permit large-scale compute transfers while remaining difficult to verify, potentially accelerating China’s AI and dual-use capabilities.

Feb 18, 2026 0 views
ACCESS »
Humanoid Robotics

Humanoid Robots Headline China’s 2026 Spring Festival Gala, Signaling Rapid Gains in Mobility and Coordination

At the 2026 CCTV Spring Festival Gala, multiple Chinese robotics firms showcased humanoids performing high-dynamic movements, coordinated routines, and interactive service-like tasks. The demonstrations highlight progress in motion control and human-robot interaction, while underscoring that large-scale deployment will depend on cost, reliability, and long-term operational stability.

Feb 17, 2026 0 views
ACCESS »
Semiconductors

U.S. Creates a Gated Export Corridor for AI Chips to China as Section 232 Tariffs Reshape Semiconductor Supply Chains

A January 2026 U.S. policy package pairs case-by-case export licensing for a defined tier of advanced AI chips to China/Macau with a 25% Section 232 tariff regime that often requires routing chips through the United States. The combined design supports U.S. onshoring and end-use oversight but raises costs and compliance burdens for reexport-oriented electronics manufacturing.

Feb 16, 2026 0 views
ACCESS »
Semiconductors

U.S. Rewires AI Chip Flows: Case-by-Case China Exports Paired With 25% Section 232 Tariff Gate

A January 2026 U.S. policy package relaxes export licensing review for certain mature advanced AI chips to China/Macau, but ties practical access to U.S.-departure shipments with extensive certifications and U.S.-based testing. A simultaneous 25% Section 232 tariff with no duty drawback for reexports raises costs and reshapes incentives toward U.S. semiconductor production while potentially discouraging export-oriented electronics assembly.

Feb 15, 2026 0 views
ACCESS »
Semiconductors

PC Giants Weigh China DRAM Sourcing as AI Demand Tightens Global Memory Supply

Major PC makers including HP and Dell are reportedly certifying Chinese DRAM suppliers as global memory capacity is increasingly prioritized for AI customers. The shift may initially target non-US markets if shortages and elevated prices persist through mid-year.

Feb 06, 2026 0 views
ACCESS »
Export Controls

U.S. AI Chip Export Rule to China: Permissive Thresholds, Weak Guardrails, and High Strategic Exposure

A January 2026 Commerce regulation permits limited exports of advanced AI chips to China while acknowledging significant national security risks, creating a framework the source characterizes as strategically inconsistent. Certification-based safeguards and volume caps may be difficult to enforce and could still enable major compute expansion in China, setting a precedent for future chip generations.

Feb 05, 2026 0 views
ACCESS »
Export Controls

U.S. AI Chip Export Rule to China: High-Volume Permissions, Low-Enforceability Guardrails

A January 2026 Commerce Department regulation creates a conditional pathway for exporting advanced AI chips to China while acknowledging significant national security risks. The source argues the framework is difficult to enforce and could still enable large-scale compute expansion in China, while setting a precedent that may be extended to more advanced chip generations.

Feb 02, 2026 0 views
ACCESS »
Export Controls

US Codifies Conditional AI Chip Exports to China While Imposing Tariff Guardrails

A January 2026 BIS final rule shifts certain advanced AI chip exports to China from presumptive denial to case-by-case review, paired with expanded technical disclosures, third-party testing, and intensified end-user diligence. A parallel presidential proclamation imposes a 25% tariff on covered advanced chip imports intended for non-US customers, while Congress signals potential legislative tightening and China’s near-term import appetite remains uncertain.

Feb 02, 2026 0 views
ACCESS »
Xpeng

Xpeng’s IRON Stumble Highlights the Perception and Safety Stakes of Public Humanoid Demos

Xpeng’s humanoid robot IRON fell during its first public appearance in Shenzhen, with CEO He Xiaopeng describing it as a normal part of technological iteration. The incident also intersected with online skepticism about the robot’s gait authenticity, underscoring the importance of trust and safety in public demonstrations.

Feb 02, 2026 0 views
ACCESS »
Export Controls

U.S. AI Chip Export Rule to China: Permissive Caps, Heavy Certifications, and High Enforceability Risk

A January 2026 Commerce Department regulation partially relaxes AI chip export limits to China while relying on volume caps and extensive certifications. The source argues the framework may be difficult to enforce and could still enable large-scale compute gains in China, creating strategic and precedent-setting risks.

Jan 31, 2026 0 views
ACCESS »
Export Controls

U.S. AI Chip Export Rule to China: Permissive Pathway, Weak Enforceability

A January 2026 Commerce Department regulation loosens AI chip export restrictions to China while acknowledging significant national security risks, creating a framework whose effectiveness depends heavily on enforcement rigor. The source argues volume caps and certification-based controls may still enable large-scale compute expansion in China with limited verifiable guardrails.

Jan 30, 2026 1 views
ACCESS »
Export Controls

U.S. AI Chip Export Rule to China: High Volume Pathway, Low Enforceability

A January 2026 U.S. regulation permits limited exports of advanced AI chips to China while acknowledging significant national security risks, relying heavily on volume caps and exporter/end-user certifications. The source argues the framework may be difficult to enforce and could still enable a major expansion of China’s AI compute capacity, setting a precedent for future frontier-chip exports.

Jan 30, 2026 0 views
ACCESS »
Hong Kong IPO

Montage Technology Targets Up to $902M in Hong Kong Listing, Testing Tech IPO Appetite

A TradingView/Reuters headline reports that China’s Montage Technology is seeking up to about $902 million in a Hong Kong listing. The crawled document contains extraction errors, limiting visibility into deal structure, timing, and use-of-proceeds details.

Jan 30, 2026 0 views
ACCESS »
Consumer AI

AiSpea’s All-Things Party: A Platform Play to Turn Everyday Objects into AI Companions

AiSpea’s All-Things Party aims to attach customizable AI personalities to ordinary objects via an AI base and mobile app, enabling both user dialogue and multi-character interactions. Powered by Alibaba Cloud’s Qwen model and supported by entertainment IP partnerships, the platform signals expansion from toys into smart home and education use cases.

Jan 29, 2026 0 views
ACCESS »
Export Controls

U.S. AI Chip Export Rule to China: Permissive Pathway, Limited Enforceability

A January 2026 Commerce regulation creates a pathway for exporting advanced AI chips to China while acknowledging significant national security risks. The source argues the framework is difficult to enforce, could enable large compute transfers, and may set a precedent for broader future relaxations.

Jan 29, 2026 0 views
ACCESS »
Semiconductors

U.S. Semiconductor Controls on China Shift Toward Conditional Licensing and Tariff-Linked Enforcement

The source describes an export-control regime that expands restrictions on advanced chips, SME, and supercomputing end-uses while introducing case-by-case licensing pathways for select high-performance AI chips. It also reports a January 2026 tariff mechanism designed to shape reexport routing and strengthen compliance oversight.

Jan 25, 2026 1 views
ACCESS »
Robotics

Linkerbot’s High-Dexterity Hands: China’s Bid to Industrialize the ‘Body’ of Physical AI

Linkerbot is building high-DOF robotic hands and a supporting software/data stack to address the key bottleneck in embodied intelligence: reliable real-world manipulation. With new Series A++ funding and plans to scale production to 50,000–100,000 units annually by 2026, execution on reliability, cost, and manufacturing scale will determine whether it becomes foundational infrastructure for physical AI.

Jan 23, 2026 1 views
ACCESS »
Vivo

Vivo Shelves AI Glasses Push as Smart Eyewear Race Crowds Out Differentiation

Vivo has reportedly halted an AI glasses project after concluding it would be difficult to differentiate in a fast-evolving, crowded market. The decision underscores rising commoditization risks in smart eyewear and suggests Vivo may prioritize defensible AI and ecosystem investments over near-term hardware bets.

Jan 23, 2026 0 views
ACCESS »
Honor

Honor Bets on On-Device AI to Escape China’s Smartphone Red Ocean

Honor is repositioning smartphone competition away from mature hardware features toward an integrated AI stack spanning dedicated chips, OS optimization, and cloud services. With domestic shipments declining and designs converging, the V10’s on-device AI strategy aims to create compounding differentiation through personalization and improved user experience.

Jan 20, 2026 0 views
ACCESS »
Open Source

Permissive Licensing, Strategic Dependence: What Google’s Angular Terms Signal for China’s Tech Stack

The crawled text is an MIT-style permissive license for Google’s Angular, enabling broad commercial use while disclaiming warranties and liability. Strategically, it accelerates adoption but shifts security/compliance burdens to users and can deepen dependency on U.S.-led software ecosystems.

Jan 19, 2026 0 views
ACCESS »
Export Controls

Revenue-for-Access AI Chip Licensing: Legal and Market Fault Lines in U.S. Controls on China-Bound GPUs

The source describes a 2025–2026 U.S. policy that conditions export licenses for advanced AI chips to China on revenue-sharing payments to the U.S. government. It argues the approach creates significant litigation exposure and could reshape supply allocation, pricing, and competitive dynamics across chips, cloud services, and AI model development.

Aug 21, 2025 0 views
ACCESS »
Export Controls

Revenue-for-Access AI Chip Licensing: Legal Exposure and Supply-Chain Implications for China-Bound Exports

The source describes a proposed U.S. approach conditioning AI chip export licenses to China on revenue-sharing payments, effectively monetizing market access. It argues the framework faces significant statutory and constitutional challenges and could be contested by a wide range of actors across the AI supply chain.

Jul 14, 2025 0 views
ACCESS »
ID Title Category Date Views
RPT-1430 U.S. Reopens AI Chip Exports to China: Conditional Permissions, High Volumes, Limited Enforceability Export Controls 2026-02-20 0 ACCESS »
RPT-1414 U.S. AI Chip Export Rule to China: Permissive Pathways, Weak Guardrails Export Controls 2026-02-20 0 ACCESS »
RPT-1301 U.S. AI Chip Export Rule to China: Permissive Pathway, Weak Guardrails, High Strategic Exposure Export Controls 2026-02-18 0 ACCESS »
RPT-1253 Humanoid Robots Headline China’s 2026 Spring Festival Gala, Signaling Rapid Gains in Mobility and Coordination Humanoid Robotics 2026-02-17 0 ACCESS »
RPT-1228 U.S. Creates a Gated Export Corridor for AI Chips to China as Section 232 Tariffs Reshape Semiconductor Supply Chains Semiconductors 2026-02-16 0 ACCESS »
RPT-1191 U.S. Rewires AI Chip Flows: Case-by-Case China Exports Paired With 25% Section 232 Tariff Gate Semiconductors 2026-02-15 0 ACCESS »
RPT-734 PC Giants Weigh China DRAM Sourcing as AI Demand Tightens Global Memory Supply Semiconductors 2026-02-06 0 ACCESS »
RPT-716 U.S. AI Chip Export Rule to China: Permissive Thresholds, Weak Guardrails, and High Strategic Exposure Export Controls 2026-02-05 0 ACCESS »
RPT-589 U.S. AI Chip Export Rule to China: High-Volume Permissions, Low-Enforceability Guardrails Export Controls 2026-02-02 0 ACCESS »
RPT-588 US Codifies Conditional AI Chip Exports to China While Imposing Tariff Guardrails Export Controls 2026-02-02 0 ACCESS »
RPT-534 Xpeng’s IRON Stumble Highlights the Perception and Safety Stakes of Public Humanoid Demos Xpeng 2026-02-02 0 ACCESS »
RPT-435 U.S. AI Chip Export Rule to China: Permissive Caps, Heavy Certifications, and High Enforceability Risk Export Controls 2026-01-31 0 ACCESS »
RPT-422 U.S. AI Chip Export Rule to China: Permissive Pathway, Weak Enforceability Export Controls 2026-01-30 1 ACCESS »
RPT-409 U.S. AI Chip Export Rule to China: High Volume Pathway, Low Enforceability Export Controls 2026-01-30 0 ACCESS »
RPT-360 Montage Technology Targets Up to $902M in Hong Kong Listing, Testing Tech IPO Appetite Hong Kong IPO 2026-01-30 0 ACCESS »
RPT-338 AiSpea’s All-Things Party: A Platform Play to Turn Everyday Objects into AI Companions Consumer AI 2026-01-29 0 ACCESS »
RPT-331 U.S. AI Chip Export Rule to China: Permissive Pathway, Limited Enforceability Export Controls 2026-01-29 0 ACCESS »
RPT-172 U.S. Semiconductor Controls on China Shift Toward Conditional Licensing and Tariff-Linked Enforcement Semiconductors 2026-01-25 1 ACCESS »
RPT-92 Linkerbot’s High-Dexterity Hands: China’s Bid to Industrialize the ‘Body’ of Physical AI Robotics 2026-01-23 1 ACCESS »
RPT-90 Vivo Shelves AI Glasses Push as Smart Eyewear Race Crowds Out Differentiation Vivo 2026-01-23 0 ACCESS »
RPT-57 Honor Bets on On-Device AI to Escape China’s Smartphone Red Ocean Honor 2026-01-20 0 ACCESS »
RPT-6 Permissive Licensing, Strategic Dependence: What Google’s Angular Terms Signal for China’s Tech Stack Open Source 2026-01-19 0 ACCESS »
RPT-384 Revenue-for-Access AI Chip Licensing: Legal and Market Fault Lines in U.S. Controls on China-Bound GPUs Export Controls 2025-08-21 0 ACCESS »
RPT-423 Revenue-for-Access AI Chip Licensing: Legal Exposure and Supply-Chain Implications for China-Bound Exports Export Controls 2025-07-14 0 ACCESS »
Page 1 of 1 • 24 total reports