// Global Analysis Archive
Source reporting describes the PLA’s December 29–30, 2025 “Justice Mission 2025” drills as a large-scale blockade simulation integrating rocket, air, naval, and coast guard activity near Taiwan and its outlying islands. The document suggests 2025 saw near-daily operations that may reflect internal readiness cycles, increasing escalation and disruption risks even absent a major crisis trigger.
The source describes a large-scale PLA exercise on Dec. 29–30, 2025 (“Justice Mission 2025”) simulating blockade conditions and integrating multi-domain operations near Taiwan. Continued high-tempo activity into early 2026 suggests a shift toward normalized pressure and capability-building rather than isolated signaling.
Source reporting describes intensified PLA activity around Taiwan through late 2025 and early 2026, emphasizing blockade simulations, frequent median-line crossings, and multi-domain pressure. The pattern suggests a move toward normalized, near-continuous operations that test Taiwan’s defenses and signal deterrence, while long-duration blockade sustainability remains uncertain.
Source reporting describes late-December 2025 PLA exercises around Taiwan as a large-scale rehearsal of blockade-like operations, including dense air and maritime activity and live-fire near the contiguous zone. Into early 2026, activity reportedly shifted toward normalized coercion, with lower ADIZ sortie levels but continued coast guard pressure near outlying islands.
Source reporting describes late-2025 PLA exercises near Taiwan as unusually large and close-in, emphasizing blockade simulation, joint operations, and precision-strike rehearsal. Continued activity into January 2026 suggests sustained pressure, though the source notes uncertainty about long-duration sustainment under external interference.
The source describes late-December 2025 PLA exercises near Taiwan as the largest in over three years, featuring multi-zone maritime activity consistent with blockade rehearsal and high-tempo air operations. It also highlights uncertainty about the PLA’s ability to sustain a prolonged blockade under contested conditions, alongside Taiwan’s subsequent counter-drills and U.S. calls for restraint.
Source reporting describes a major PLA exercise near Taiwan on 29–30 December 2025, emphasizing blockade simulation, joint firepower, and intensified air and coast guard activity. The pattern suggests calibrated coercion designed to normalize presence and test responses while avoiding the political and operational costs of continuous blockade operations.
According to the source, China’s December 29–30, 2025 “Justice Mission 2025” drills simulated a Taiwan blockade with integrated naval, coast guard, air, and rocket forces and extensive air activity. The pattern described suggests recurring, politically triggered surges that elevate incident risk while emphasizing coercive isolation tactics over full invasion rehearsal.
Source reporting describes large-scale PLA Eastern Theater Command exercises on 29–30 December 2025 simulating a naval and coast guard blockade of Taiwan, with high sortie volumes and operations closer to the island. The drills appear aimed at refining sustained coercion tactics and shaping deterrence dynamics amid an ongoing cycle of military signaling and counter-exercises.
Source reporting indicates China’s late-December 2025 “Justice Mission 2025” drills simulated blockade conditions with integrated air, maritime, and long-range fire elements close to Taiwan’s coast. The broader 2025 pattern suggests a strategy of operational normalization and sustained coercive presence, increasing incident risk while refining blockade-relevant capabilities.
Source reporting describes the PLA’s December 29–30, 2025 “Justice Mission 2025” drills as a large-scale blockade simulation integrating rocket, air, naval, and coast guard activity near Taiwan and its outlying islands. The document suggests 2025 saw near-daily operations that may reflect internal readiness cycles, increasing escalation and disruption risks even absent a major crisis trigger.
The source describes a large-scale PLA exercise on Dec. 29–30, 2025 (“Justice Mission 2025”) simulating blockade conditions and integrating multi-domain operations near Taiwan. Continued high-tempo activity into early 2026 suggests a shift toward normalized pressure and capability-building rather than isolated signaling.
Source reporting describes intensified PLA activity around Taiwan through late 2025 and early 2026, emphasizing blockade simulations, frequent median-line crossings, and multi-domain pressure. The pattern suggests a move toward normalized, near-continuous operations that test Taiwan’s defenses and signal deterrence, while long-duration blockade sustainability remains uncertain.
Source reporting describes late-December 2025 PLA exercises around Taiwan as a large-scale rehearsal of blockade-like operations, including dense air and maritime activity and live-fire near the contiguous zone. Into early 2026, activity reportedly shifted toward normalized coercion, with lower ADIZ sortie levels but continued coast guard pressure near outlying islands.
Source reporting describes late-2025 PLA exercises near Taiwan as unusually large and close-in, emphasizing blockade simulation, joint operations, and precision-strike rehearsal. Continued activity into January 2026 suggests sustained pressure, though the source notes uncertainty about long-duration sustainment under external interference.
The source describes late-December 2025 PLA exercises near Taiwan as the largest in over three years, featuring multi-zone maritime activity consistent with blockade rehearsal and high-tempo air operations. It also highlights uncertainty about the PLA’s ability to sustain a prolonged blockade under contested conditions, alongside Taiwan’s subsequent counter-drills and U.S. calls for restraint.
Source reporting describes a major PLA exercise near Taiwan on 29–30 December 2025, emphasizing blockade simulation, joint firepower, and intensified air and coast guard activity. The pattern suggests calibrated coercion designed to normalize presence and test responses while avoiding the political and operational costs of continuous blockade operations.
According to the source, China’s December 29–30, 2025 “Justice Mission 2025” drills simulated a Taiwan blockade with integrated naval, coast guard, air, and rocket forces and extensive air activity. The pattern described suggests recurring, politically triggered surges that elevate incident risk while emphasizing coercive isolation tactics over full invasion rehearsal.
Source reporting describes large-scale PLA Eastern Theater Command exercises on 29–30 December 2025 simulating a naval and coast guard blockade of Taiwan, with high sortie volumes and operations closer to the island. The drills appear aimed at refining sustained coercion tactics and shaping deterrence dynamics amid an ongoing cycle of military signaling and counter-exercises.
Source reporting indicates China’s late-December 2025 “Justice Mission 2025” drills simulated blockade conditions with integrated air, maritime, and long-range fire elements close to Taiwan’s coast. The broader 2025 pattern suggests a strategy of operational normalization and sustained coercive presence, increasing incident risk while refining blockade-relevant capabilities.
| ID | Title | Category | Date | Views | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RPT-2951 | Justice Mission 2025: PLA–CCG Blockade Rehearsals Intensify Pressure Around Taiwan | Taiwan Strait | 2026-03-21 | 0 | ACCESS » |
| RPT-2854 | PLA Blockade-Simulation Drills Signal Sustained Coercive Posture Around Taiwan | PLA | 2026-03-19 | 0 | ACCESS » |
| RPT-1594 | PLA Pressure Campaign Around Taiwan Shifts Toward Persistent Blockade-Rehearsal Posture | Taiwan Strait | 2026-02-24 | 0 | ACCESS » |
| RPT-846 | PLA ‘Justice Mission 2025’ Drills Signal Blockade-Rehearsal Posture, Followed by Normalized Pressure in Early 2026 | PLA | 2026-02-08 | 0 | ACCESS » |
| RPT-816 | PLA Blockade-Rehearsal Drills Near Taiwan Signal Higher-Tempo Coercion Into 2026 | Taiwan Strait | 2026-02-07 | 0 | ACCESS » |
| RPT-527 | Justice Mission 2025: PLA Blockade-Rehearsal Signals Intensify Around Taiwan | Taiwan Strait | 2026-02-02 | 0 | ACCESS » |
| RPT-2416 | Justice Mission 2025: China’s Late-2025 Blockade Simulation Raises Pressure on Taiwan’s Periphery | Taiwan Strait | 2025-12-07 | 0 | ACCESS » |
| RPT-2957 | Justice Mission 2025 Signals Intensifying Blockade-Centric Pressure on Taiwan | Taiwan Strait | 2025-11-21 | 0 | ACCESS » |
| RPT-593 | PLA ‘Justice Mission 2025’ Signals Intensified Blockade Rehearsals Around Taiwan | PLA | 2025-09-13 | 0 | ACCESS » |
| RPT-2780 | Justice Mission 2025: Beijing Rehearses Blockade-Style Pressure and Normalizes High-Tempo Operations Around Taiwan | Taiwan Strait | 2025-07-09 | 0 | ACCESS » |