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Intelligence Archive // China Watch

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Research Library

// Global Analysis Archive

DISPLAYING 1-9 OF 9 RECORDS — TAGGED "Blockade Risk"
PAGE 1 / 1
Taiwan Strait Mar 15, 2026

PLA Exercises Signal Expanded Blockade-Relevant Posture Around Taiwan

Source reporting describes a marked increase in the scale and geographic breadth of PLA exercises around Taiwan, including December 2025 drills framed as testing blockade-like conditions and joint operational integration. Analysts cited in the document also highlight uncertainties around the PLA’s ability to sustain prolonged operations and execute complex leadership-targeting missions under contested conditions.

PLA Feb 20, 2026

Forest Over Trees: PLA Capability Growth Continues Amid Senior-Level Discipline Actions

The source argues that senior personnel investigations in early 2026 are occurring alongside accelerating PLA capability development, with large-scale exercises through late 2025 framed as cumulative preparation for Taiwan contingencies. It highlights Justice Mission 2025, growing maritime-coercion integration, and potential Maritime Militia massing as indicators of expanding options short of invasion while logistics and joint-integration constraints persist.

PLA Jan 25, 2026

PLA Raises Operational Pressure Around Taiwan with Blockade-Style Drills and Airspace Probing

Source reporting indicates the PLA intensified activity around Taiwan in late 2025 and early 2026, including large-scale “Justice Mission 2025” drills and a reported drone overflight of Pratas (Dongsha) Island. The pattern suggests increasing operational realism—blockade rehearsal, joint strike training, and leadership-targeting messaging—while elevating risks of miscalculation and commercial disruption.

Taiwan Strait Nov 25, 2025

China’s ‘Justice Mission 2025’ Drills Signal Intensified Blockade Readiness Around Taiwan

China has launched large-scale military exercises around Taiwan featuring live-fire activity, multi-domain deployments, and reported rehearsals for port blockade scenarios. The drills follow a major U.S. weapons package for Taiwan, intensifying deterrence-counterdeterrence dynamics and raising incident and escalation risks in the Taiwan Strait.

Taiwan Strait Nov 14, 2025

China Launches ‘Justice Mission 2025’ Drills Around Taiwan as U.S. Arms Package Raises Regional Stakes

The source reports China’s largest-to-date military exercises around Taiwan, featuring live-fire activity and multi-domain deployments across seven maritime zones. The drills appear oriented toward blockade and strike rehearsals amid heightened tensions following a record U.S. weapons package for Taiwan.

Taiwan Strait Nov 08, 2025

Justice Mission 2025 Signals a Readiness-Driven Shift in PLA Pressure Around Taiwan

Source reporting describes late-December 2025 PLA exercises around Taiwan as the largest in more than three years, combining high-volume air and maritime deployments with live-fire elements and simulated blockade activity. The document suggests these surges increasingly reflect internal readiness cycles and continuous operational pressure rather than purely event-driven political signaling.

Taiwan Strait Aug 17, 2025

China Expands Taiwan Encirclement Drills as Record U.S. Arms Package Raises Stakes

China launched large-scale exercises around Taiwan featuring live-fire activity, simulated strikes, and apparent blockade rehearsals across multiple maritime zones. The drills follow a record U.S. weapons package for Taiwan and have already disrupted civilian air and sea traffic while elevating escalation and incident risks.

Taiwan Strait Jul 19, 2025

PLA ‘Justice Mission 2025’ Encircles Taiwan as Record U.S. Arms Package Raises Cross-Strait Pressure

China launched what the source describes as its largest-ever military exercises around Taiwan, integrating live-fire drills and multi-domain deployments across seven maritime zones. The drills follow a reported $11.1 billion U.S. weapons package for Taiwan and are contributing to heightened operational risk, including disruption to civilian air and sea traffic.

Taiwan Strait Jul 06, 2025

Justice Mission 2025 Signals Beijing’s Maturing Blockade Playbook Around Taiwan

China’s late-December 2025 “Justice Mission 2025” drills, according to the source, simulated blockade and energy interdiction scenarios with multi-domain joint integration and prominent China Coast Guard participation. The pattern suggests continued refinement of quarantine-style coercion and counter-intervention signaling amid elevated cross-strait tensions since May 2024.

Taiwan Strait

PLA Exercises Signal Expanded Blockade-Relevant Posture Around Taiwan

Source reporting describes a marked increase in the scale and geographic breadth of PLA exercises around Taiwan, including December 2025 drills framed as testing blockade-like conditions and joint operational integration. Analysts cited in the document also highlight uncertainties around the PLA’s ability to sustain prolonged operations and execute complex leadership-targeting missions under contested conditions.

Mar 15, 2026 0 views
ACCESS »
PLA

Forest Over Trees: PLA Capability Growth Continues Amid Senior-Level Discipline Actions

The source argues that senior personnel investigations in early 2026 are occurring alongside accelerating PLA capability development, with large-scale exercises through late 2025 framed as cumulative preparation for Taiwan contingencies. It highlights Justice Mission 2025, growing maritime-coercion integration, and potential Maritime Militia massing as indicators of expanding options short of invasion while logistics and joint-integration constraints persist.

Feb 20, 2026 0 views
ACCESS »
PLA

PLA Raises Operational Pressure Around Taiwan with Blockade-Style Drills and Airspace Probing

Source reporting indicates the PLA intensified activity around Taiwan in late 2025 and early 2026, including large-scale “Justice Mission 2025” drills and a reported drone overflight of Pratas (Dongsha) Island. The pattern suggests increasing operational realism—blockade rehearsal, joint strike training, and leadership-targeting messaging—while elevating risks of miscalculation and commercial disruption.

Jan 25, 2026 1 views
ACCESS »
Taiwan Strait

China’s ‘Justice Mission 2025’ Drills Signal Intensified Blockade Readiness Around Taiwan

China has launched large-scale military exercises around Taiwan featuring live-fire activity, multi-domain deployments, and reported rehearsals for port blockade scenarios. The drills follow a major U.S. weapons package for Taiwan, intensifying deterrence-counterdeterrence dynamics and raising incident and escalation risks in the Taiwan Strait.

Nov 25, 2025 0 views
ACCESS »
Taiwan Strait

China Launches ‘Justice Mission 2025’ Drills Around Taiwan as U.S. Arms Package Raises Regional Stakes

The source reports China’s largest-to-date military exercises around Taiwan, featuring live-fire activity and multi-domain deployments across seven maritime zones. The drills appear oriented toward blockade and strike rehearsals amid heightened tensions following a record U.S. weapons package for Taiwan.

Nov 14, 2025 0 views
ACCESS »
Taiwan Strait

Justice Mission 2025 Signals a Readiness-Driven Shift in PLA Pressure Around Taiwan

Source reporting describes late-December 2025 PLA exercises around Taiwan as the largest in more than three years, combining high-volume air and maritime deployments with live-fire elements and simulated blockade activity. The document suggests these surges increasingly reflect internal readiness cycles and continuous operational pressure rather than purely event-driven political signaling.

Nov 08, 2025 0 views
ACCESS »
Taiwan Strait

China Expands Taiwan Encirclement Drills as Record U.S. Arms Package Raises Stakes

China launched large-scale exercises around Taiwan featuring live-fire activity, simulated strikes, and apparent blockade rehearsals across multiple maritime zones. The drills follow a record U.S. weapons package for Taiwan and have already disrupted civilian air and sea traffic while elevating escalation and incident risks.

Aug 17, 2025 0 views
ACCESS »
Taiwan Strait

PLA ‘Justice Mission 2025’ Encircles Taiwan as Record U.S. Arms Package Raises Cross-Strait Pressure

China launched what the source describes as its largest-ever military exercises around Taiwan, integrating live-fire drills and multi-domain deployments across seven maritime zones. The drills follow a reported $11.1 billion U.S. weapons package for Taiwan and are contributing to heightened operational risk, including disruption to civilian air and sea traffic.

Jul 19, 2025 0 views
ACCESS »
Taiwan Strait

Justice Mission 2025 Signals Beijing’s Maturing Blockade Playbook Around Taiwan

China’s late-December 2025 “Justice Mission 2025” drills, according to the source, simulated blockade and energy interdiction scenarios with multi-domain joint integration and prominent China Coast Guard participation. The pattern suggests continued refinement of quarantine-style coercion and counter-intervention signaling amid elevated cross-strait tensions since May 2024.

Jul 06, 2025 0 views
ACCESS »
ID Title Category Date Views
RPT-2634 PLA Exercises Signal Expanded Blockade-Relevant Posture Around Taiwan Taiwan Strait 2026-03-15 0 ACCESS »
RPT-1388 Forest Over Trees: PLA Capability Growth Continues Amid Senior-Level Discipline Actions PLA 2026-02-20 0 ACCESS »
RPT-185 PLA Raises Operational Pressure Around Taiwan with Blockade-Style Drills and Airspace Probing PLA 2026-01-25 1 ACCESS »
RPT-4419 China’s ‘Justice Mission 2025’ Drills Signal Intensified Blockade Readiness Around Taiwan Taiwan Strait 2025-11-25 0 ACCESS »
RPT-4554 China Launches ‘Justice Mission 2025’ Drills Around Taiwan as U.S. Arms Package Raises Regional Stakes Taiwan Strait 2025-11-14 0 ACCESS »
RPT-1245 Justice Mission 2025 Signals a Readiness-Driven Shift in PLA Pressure Around Taiwan Taiwan Strait 2025-11-08 0 ACCESS »
RPT-4429 China Expands Taiwan Encirclement Drills as Record U.S. Arms Package Raises Stakes Taiwan Strait 2025-08-17 0 ACCESS »
RPT-4598 PLA ‘Justice Mission 2025’ Encircles Taiwan as Record U.S. Arms Package Raises Cross-Strait Pressure Taiwan Strait 2025-07-19 0 ACCESS »
RPT-3600 Justice Mission 2025 Signals Beijing’s Maturing Blockade Playbook Around Taiwan Taiwan Strait 2025-07-06 0 ACCESS »
Page 1 of 1 • 9 total reports