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Intelligence Archive // China Watch

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Research Library

// Global Analysis Archive

DISPLAYING 1-5 OF 5 RECORDS — TAGGED "Blockade Risk"
PAGE 1 / 1
Taiwan Strait Mar 15, 2026

PLA Exercises Signal Expanded Blockade-Relevant Posture Around Taiwan

Source reporting describes a marked increase in the scale and geographic breadth of PLA exercises around Taiwan, including December 2025 drills framed as testing blockade-like conditions and joint operational integration. Analysts cited in the document also highlight uncertainties around the PLA’s ability to sustain prolonged operations and execute complex leadership-targeting missions under contested conditions.

PLA Feb 20, 2026

Forest Over Trees: PLA Capability Growth Continues Amid Senior-Level Discipline Actions

The source argues that senior personnel investigations in early 2026 are occurring alongside accelerating PLA capability development, with large-scale exercises through late 2025 framed as cumulative preparation for Taiwan contingencies. It highlights Justice Mission 2025, growing maritime-coercion integration, and potential Maritime Militia massing as indicators of expanding options short of invasion while logistics and joint-integration constraints persist.

PLA Jan 25, 2026

PLA Raises Operational Pressure Around Taiwan with Blockade-Style Drills and Airspace Probing

Source reporting indicates the PLA intensified activity around Taiwan in late 2025 and early 2026, including large-scale “Justice Mission 2025” drills and a reported drone overflight of Pratas (Dongsha) Island. The pattern suggests increasing operational realism—blockade rehearsal, joint strike training, and leadership-targeting messaging—while elevating risks of miscalculation and commercial disruption.

Taiwan Strait Nov 08, 2025

Justice Mission 2025 Signals a Readiness-Driven Shift in PLA Pressure Around Taiwan

Source reporting describes late-December 2025 PLA exercises around Taiwan as the largest in more than three years, combining high-volume air and maritime deployments with live-fire elements and simulated blockade activity. The document suggests these surges increasingly reflect internal readiness cycles and continuous operational pressure rather than purely event-driven political signaling.

Taiwan Strait Jul 06, 2025

Justice Mission 2025 Signals Beijing’s Maturing Blockade Playbook Around Taiwan

China’s late-December 2025 “Justice Mission 2025” drills, according to the source, simulated blockade and energy interdiction scenarios with multi-domain joint integration and prominent China Coast Guard participation. The pattern suggests continued refinement of quarantine-style coercion and counter-intervention signaling amid elevated cross-strait tensions since May 2024.

Taiwan Strait

PLA Exercises Signal Expanded Blockade-Relevant Posture Around Taiwan

Source reporting describes a marked increase in the scale and geographic breadth of PLA exercises around Taiwan, including December 2025 drills framed as testing blockade-like conditions and joint operational integration. Analysts cited in the document also highlight uncertainties around the PLA’s ability to sustain prolonged operations and execute complex leadership-targeting missions under contested conditions.

Mar 15, 2026 0 views
ACCESS »
PLA

Forest Over Trees: PLA Capability Growth Continues Amid Senior-Level Discipline Actions

The source argues that senior personnel investigations in early 2026 are occurring alongside accelerating PLA capability development, with large-scale exercises through late 2025 framed as cumulative preparation for Taiwan contingencies. It highlights Justice Mission 2025, growing maritime-coercion integration, and potential Maritime Militia massing as indicators of expanding options short of invasion while logistics and joint-integration constraints persist.

Feb 20, 2026 0 views
ACCESS »
PLA

PLA Raises Operational Pressure Around Taiwan with Blockade-Style Drills and Airspace Probing

Source reporting indicates the PLA intensified activity around Taiwan in late 2025 and early 2026, including large-scale “Justice Mission 2025” drills and a reported drone overflight of Pratas (Dongsha) Island. The pattern suggests increasing operational realism—blockade rehearsal, joint strike training, and leadership-targeting messaging—while elevating risks of miscalculation and commercial disruption.

Jan 25, 2026 1 views
ACCESS »
Taiwan Strait

Justice Mission 2025 Signals a Readiness-Driven Shift in PLA Pressure Around Taiwan

Source reporting describes late-December 2025 PLA exercises around Taiwan as the largest in more than three years, combining high-volume air and maritime deployments with live-fire elements and simulated blockade activity. The document suggests these surges increasingly reflect internal readiness cycles and continuous operational pressure rather than purely event-driven political signaling.

Nov 08, 2025 0 views
ACCESS »
Taiwan Strait

Justice Mission 2025 Signals Beijing’s Maturing Blockade Playbook Around Taiwan

China’s late-December 2025 “Justice Mission 2025” drills, according to the source, simulated blockade and energy interdiction scenarios with multi-domain joint integration and prominent China Coast Guard participation. The pattern suggests continued refinement of quarantine-style coercion and counter-intervention signaling amid elevated cross-strait tensions since May 2024.

Jul 06, 2025 0 views
ACCESS »
ID Title Category Date Views
RPT-2634 PLA Exercises Signal Expanded Blockade-Relevant Posture Around Taiwan Taiwan Strait 2026-03-15 0 ACCESS »
RPT-1388 Forest Over Trees: PLA Capability Growth Continues Amid Senior-Level Discipline Actions PLA 2026-02-20 0 ACCESS »
RPT-185 PLA Raises Operational Pressure Around Taiwan with Blockade-Style Drills and Airspace Probing PLA 2026-01-25 1 ACCESS »
RPT-1245 Justice Mission 2025 Signals a Readiness-Driven Shift in PLA Pressure Around Taiwan Taiwan Strait 2025-11-08 0 ACCESS »
RPT-3600 Justice Mission 2025 Signals Beijing’s Maturing Blockade Playbook Around Taiwan Taiwan Strait 2025-07-06 0 ACCESS »
Page 1 of 1 • 5 total reports